Refs & Calcs: Funding: 15 billion more: Performance vs. NW Peers

References & Calculations

SOUNDTRANSIT Seattle Light Rail Funding History & Plans vs. NW Peer Cities
SOUNDTRANSIT Seattle Light Rail Funding Request versus NW Peer City Spending
SOUNDTRANSIT Seattle Light Rail Moves Far Fewer Passengers per $ Spent on Construction

  1. from Sound Transit Light Rail Extreme Costs chart, Sound Transit Voter Approved Light Rail Taxpayer Funding , ref f) 2.9315 billion + ref. k)  billion 11.145 = $14.08 billion(2014$) spent and/or approved by taxpayers for Seattle Light Rail by 2008 before any lines were running and citizens could assess performance.

  2. South Frasier Blog, Tuesday, March 20, 2012, Cost of Skytrain from, "On Track: The SkyTrain Story," calculated values in bold italics.

CPI 1.03
2014$ to 2012$

year

[km]

[miles]

[miles]

[2012$C & $US]

[2014$
US]

[2014$
US]

[2014$
US /mile]

line

EIS

length

length

total

cost

cost

cumulative cost






billions

billions

billions

millions

Expo

1986

21.4

13.3

13.3

1.601

1.649

1.649

124.063

Expo II

1990

3.1

1.9

15.2

0.282

0.290

1.939

127.431

Expo III

1994

4.4

2.7

18.0

0.207

0.214

2.153

119.935

Millenium IV/V

2002

20.5

12.7

30.7

1.443

1.487

3.639

118.611

Canada Line

2009

19.2

11.9

42.6

2.136

2.200

5.840

137.05

  1. Wikipedia, Max Light Rail




Year of Entry


[2014$]

[2014$]]

[2014$ /mile]


miles

total

YOE

Cost $

CPI

Cost

     cumulative cost

YOE cost





[millions]


[millions]

All lines

15.1

15.1

1986

214

2.16

462

462

31

31

Blue, Red

17.6

32.7

1998

963

1.45

1,396

1,859

57

79

Red

5.6

38.3

2001

125

1.34

168

2,026

53

30

Yellow

5.8

44.1

2004

350

1.25

438

2,464

56

75

Green, Yellow

1.8

45.9

2009

576

1.1

633

3,097

67

76

Green

6.5

52.4







  1. Sound Transit,  Sound Transit Quarterly Ridership Report

annual boardings/(365 days/years) = daily boardings

year

annual boardings

daily boardings

2009



2010

6,958,832

19,065

2011

7,812,433

21,501

2012

8,699,821

23,839

2013

9,681,432

26,524

2014

10,950,276

30,001


  1. metrovancouver.org, “Transit Ridership 1989-2014” (Vancouver boardings)

  2. National Transportation Database Histrorical Data Files, TS2.1TimeSeriesOpExpSvcModeTOS-3 transit ridership numbers.xls,  spreadsheet UPT (Portland boardings)

ref d.) Vancouver, BC Light Rail Boardings

ref e) Portland Light Rail


Annual

Daily


Boardings

Year

Skytrain

Canada Line

Total

Total

Year

Annual

Daily

1986

No

N.A



1986



1987

data

N.A



1987

5,116,279

14,017

1988

found

N.A



1988

5,348,837

14,654

1989

25,477,985

N.A.

25,477,985

69,803

1989

5,697,674

15,610

1990

27,667,954

N.A.

27,667,954

75,803

1990

6,162,791

16,884

1991

28,924,538

N.A.

28,924,538

79,245

1991

6,860,465

18,796

1992

30,261,957

N.A.

30,261,957

82,909

1992

7,441,860

20,389

1993

30,472,846

N.A.

30,472,846

83,487

1993

7,790,698

21,344

1994

34,250,784

N.A.

34,250,784

93,838

1994

8,372,093

22,937

1995

37,540,745

N.A.

37,540,745

102,851

1995

7,790,698

21,344

1996

41,703,920

N.A.

41,703,920

114,257

1996

9,767,442

26,760

1997

41,861,441

0

41,861,441

114,689

1997

10,581,395

28,990

1998

42,246,133

0

42,246,133

115,743

1998

11,744,186

32,176

1999

43,626,637

0

43,626,637

119,525

1999

14,848,800

40,682

2000

46,296,343

0

46,296,343

126,839

2000

17,652,000

48,362

2001

43,392,441

0

43,392,441

118,883

2001

18,579,600

50,903

2002

52,043,281

0

52,043,281

142,584

2002

21,218,400

58,133

2003

62,047,997

0

62,047,997

169,995

2003

21,801,600

59,730

2004

65,003,235

0

65,003,235

178,091

2004

22,890,000

62,712

2005

66,291,738

0

66,291,738

181,621

2005

26,641,200

72,990

2006

69,456,901

0

69,456,901

190,293

2006

27,214,800

74,561

2007

71,212,840

0

71,212,840

195,104

2007

28,406,400

77,826

2008

73,528,813

0

73,528,813

201,449

2008

29,396,400

80,538

2009

73,067,374

11,391,371

84,458,745

231,394

2009

29,370,000

80,466

2010

79,222,397

38,447,725

117,670,122

322,384

2010

32,037,600

87,774

2011

79,914,207

39,668,773

119,582,980

327,625

2011

34,373,474

94,174

2012

79,607,111

40,832,738

120,439,849

329,972

2012

35,203,333

96,447

2013

77,019,044

40,197,736

117,216,780

321,142

2013

32,638,800

89,421

2014

77,482,049

40,245,017

117,727,066

322,540

2014

30,254,400

82,889

  1. 14.08 billion/1.649 billion = 8.54 tmes  Seatttle/Vancouver initial funding

  2. 14.08 billion/0.462 billion = 30.4 times  Seatttle/Portland initial funding

  3. (14.08 billion+15.0 billion) /5.84 billion = 4.98 times  Seatttle/Vancouver 25 year funding (14.08 billion+25.0 billion) /5.84 billion = 6.67 times  Seatttle/Vancouver 25 year funding

  4. (14.08 billion+15.0 billion) /3.10 billion = 9.37 times  Seatttle/Portland 25 year funding (14.08 billion+25.0 billion) /3.10 billion = 12.61 times  Seatttle/Portland 25 year funding

  5. from Sound Transit Light Rail Extreme Costs chart, SOUND TRANSIT Seattle Light Rail Key Facts & Data ref.g) Seattle Central Link Light Rail cost $97,714 (2014$/daily ride)

  1. Vancouver Canada Line Costs:   2.200 billion (2014$) / 110,260 daily boarding (2014)  = $19,956 per daily boarding (5 years after Entry in Service)

  2. Vancouver Skytrain (Expo lines) 1.939 billion (2014$) / 79,245  daily boarding (1991) = $24,476 per daily boarding (5 years after Entry in Service)

  3. Portland 1st Trimax Line: 426 million (2014$) / 18,796  daily boarding (1991) = $22,270 per daily boarding (5 years after Entry in Service)

  4. 2014 Daily Round trip Riders per $1 million (2014$) Non-recurring Cost
    Seattle Central Link = 1 /(2*97,714) = 5.117 daily roundtrip riders/ $1 million 
  5. Vancouver Canada Line = 1/(2*19,956) = 25.4
    Vancouver Skytrain (Expo lines) = 1/(2*24,476) = 21.2 
  6. Portland 1st Trimax Line = 1/(2*22,270) = 22.2
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