Refs & Calcs Swift

References & Calculations

Snohomish County Swift BRT “Lite” Cost Driven Intelligent Transit

Snohomish County Swift BRT “Lite” vs. Seattle Light Rail

SOUND TRANSIT Bus Rapid Transit Study ST3: Lynnwood to Everett Corridor Study

SOUND TRANSIT Claims BRT Duplicating Swift and Costing Much More Would Run Slower

  1. Wikipedia,  Swift Bus Rapid Transit, Cost $29 million (2009$), 1,557,404 (2014) boardings, 16.7 miles

  2. 29 million (2009$) * 1.10 (2014$)/ (2009$) = 31.9 million  (2014$) 31.9 millions (2014$) / 1,557,404 (2014) boardings * 365 days / year = $7,476 (2014$)  per daily boarding

  3. Route 101 Aurora Village to Mariner Park & Ride Weekday Schedule, Community Transit
    Hwy 99 & Airport Rd to Aurora Village: lv 5:24 ar 5:49 travel time = 25 mins (min time)
    Hwy 99 & Airport Rd to Aurora Village: lv 8:20 ar 8:55 travel time = 35 mins (max time)

  4. Swift Southbound to Aurora Village Weekday Schedule, Community Transit
    Hwy 99 & Airport Rd to Aurora Village: lv 5:21 ar 5:41 travel time = 20 mins (min time)
    Schedule does not list busiest hours.
    20 mins/25 mins = 0.8 = 20% less time

  5. Swift By The Numbers, Thursday, December 2, 2010, Community Transit Blog claims 20% faster

  6. Parsons Brinckerhoff (August 2014). "Executive Summary". Community Transit BRT Corridor Planning and Route Definition Study: Boeing to Canyon Park (Report). Community Transit.”

  7. Sound Transit, ST3 CANDIDATE PROJECT: LYNNWOOD TO EVERETT LIGHT RAIL, 12/04/2015, shows Option 1 which pass the Everett Boeing plant for $4,460 to $4,969 billion

  8. Sound Transit Light Rail Obscene Costs chart, Sound Transit Central Link Sets Record for Most Expensive US Starter Light Rail System, ref. p) Seattle Central Link Light Rail cost $188 million(2014$) /mile

  9. Community Transit, Swift Southbound to Aurora Village Weekday ScheduleEverett to Aurora Village lv 5:00 ar 5:41 travel time = 41 mins (min time)
    Everett to Aurora Village lv 8:00 ar 8:51 travel time = 51 mins (max time)
    Swift speed = 16.7 miles / (41 mins/(60 mins/hr))= 24.4 mph
    Swift speed = 16.7 miles / (51 mins/(60 mins/hr))= 19.65 mph

  10. Sound Transit, Central Link Weekday Schedule, 38 mins Downtown to SeaTac Airport
    Central Link Speed 15.7 miles/(38 mins/(60 mins/hr))=24.78 mph

  11. Sound Transit Light Rail Obscene Costs chart, Sound Transit Seattle Light Rail Key Facts & Data, ref h) Seattle Central Link:  $97,714 (2014$)/daily ride 2014

  12. Sound Transit Light Rail Obscene Costs chart, Sound Transit Light Rail Funding versus NW Peer Cities, ref c) Seattle Central Link: 30,001 rides/day (2014)

  13. $1 million / ($97,714 / daily ride) = 10.23 daily rides/$1 million (Central Link)

  14. $1 million / ($7,476 / daily ride) = 135.1 daily rides/$1 million (Swift BRT)

  15. Swift 13 times cheaper per rider: 135.1 daily rides / 10.23 daily rides = 12x cheaper per daily

  16. Swift 90 times cheaper per mile:  188 million/ 2 million = 94x cheaper per mile

  17. Lynnwood to Everett High Capacity Transit Corridor Study, Final Report, July 2014,” Sound Transit, ST3 Option E calculations
    Ave Speed: 13.6 miles/ (50 mins/ (60 mins/hr)) = 16.3 mph
    Cost/daily ride: $540 million/18,000 daily riders = $30,000 to
    $740 million/15,000 daily riders = $49,333 / daily ride
    Cost/mile $540 million/13.6 miles = $39.70 million to
    $740 million/13.6 miles = $54.41 million / mile

  18. Cost difference between ST3 HCT and Swift ($/mile)
    $39.7 million / $2 million = 20 times or $54.41 million / $2 million = 27 times

  19. Cost difference between ST3 HCT and Swift ($/weekday rider)
    ($30,000 / daily rider )/ ($7,470 / daily rider) = 4 times
    ($49,333 / daily rider )/ ($7,470 / daily rider) = 6.7 times

  20. Swift Bus Rapid Transit Turns 6, Saturday, November 28, 2015, Community Transit Blog, 5500 daily riders

  21. 5,500 existing riders handle by 15 buses.  3 x 5,500 =  16,500 riders

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